We tipped 3 out of the 4 winners in the 1st week of the final - missing out the Western Bulldogs who I rated highly - which is the case again this week, in giving them a 92% chance against Brisbane, and again because of the profile of players selected (we'd still tip them just based on both teams' form alone for what it's worth). The other game I rated almost a toss of the coin, tipping just in favour of Collingwood. Any further teams changes would be interesting as this could sway the predicition in Adelaide's favour.
As a said last week I'm not using my predicstions to bet on the finals, primarily because the data I used to build the model is only using games from the home-and-away rounds.
| Team 1 | Team 2 | Venue | Pr 1 | Pr 2 |
| Western Bulldogs | Brisbane | MCG | 91.7% | 7.7% |
| Collingwood | Adelaide | MCG | 49.5% | 48.4% |
Total tips for the season: 126 from 180 (70%)
Total tips for finals: 3 from 4 (75%)
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