Well first off last week went according to script, firstly with the Western Bulldogs winning easily and Collingwood winning in a very close match. Both these teams provided decent overlays as well, so profits were to be made for those betting.
I'm pretty hesitant to put the predictions up for this week, and look at the probabilities you'll soon see why, tipping both underdogs by a fairly big gap. As has been the case with the Western Bulldogs in recent weeks, on form alone we'd rate St Kilda and Geelong on top but when the player-based aspect is added things swing in favour of the underdogs. For what it's worth I'll be extremely happy if both of my tips are wrong, as this means St Kilda will be in the Grand Final, and more importantly Collingwood won't be.
| Team 1 | Team 2 | Venue | Pr 1 | Pr 2 |
| St Kilda | Western Bulldogs | MCG | 26.6% | 71.7% |
| Geelong | Collingwood | MCG | 20.2% | 78.4% |
Total tips for the season: 128 from 182 (70%)
Total tips for finals: 5 from 6 (83%)
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