This week we're again tipping all home teams in an extended round of 7 games, although I've had to make some minor adjustments to the model given that two teams are hosting matches on neutral ground. So Central Coast at Sydney and Newcastle at Port Macquarie I'm treating as not quite a home team, but definitely not away - since they're expected to have the bulk of the crowd behind them and not have to travel as far as their opponents.
On the betting front we'll likely be having bets on Victory, Sydney FC and North Queensland.
| Team 1 | Team 2 | Venue | Pr T1 | Pr Draw | Pr T |
| Melbourne Victory | Adelaide United | Etihad Stadium | 50% | 25% | 26% |
| Central Coast Mariners | Perth Glory | Sydney Football Stadium | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Sydney FC | Queensland Roar | Sydney Football Stadium | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Newcastle Jets | Melbourne Heart | Port Macquarie | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| North Queensland | Gold Coast | Dairy Farmers Stadium | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| New Zealand | Queensland Roar | Westpac Stadium | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| Perth Glory | Melbourne Heart | nib Stadium | 45% | 26% | 29% |
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